Haryana Lok Sabha 2024 Election Analysis

Abstract

The research paper aims to analyze the General elections of Haryana state in the year 2024. The paper begins with a brief introduction of the elections in the state granting a rough idea of the elections over the years. The paper then further delves into a comparative analysis of past elections to understand the trends of the state and the narratives that caused these trends. Then the elections are understood by breaking them down into constituencies and analysing them individually to understand the various factors that led to the outcome of each constituency. All ten constituencies were analyzed individually, their results compared to the previous years, and then these results were understood in an in-depth manner with the occurrences and campaigns of the various candidates. The outcomes were linked to the statements given by the voters or the campaigns of the party leaders and connections were established in the paper. The major reasons for the results of the elections were understood. The future implications of the results of the assembly elections as well as what the parties can improve for the next elections have been listed in the paper. The paper was concluded with an understanding of the election and the activities and occurrences that influenced the voters and the outcome.

Keywords- Haryana Lok Sabha Elections, constituencies, BJP, INC

Introduction

On 25th May 2024 Haryana Lok Sabha Elections were held and 10 members representing the ten constituencies were elected to the 18th Lok Sabha. Haryana has a diverse socio-economic fabric shaped by its agricultural economy, over the years it has exhibited complex voting patterns that are influenced by a variety of factors. In the recent elections, where the incumbent government performed poorly, while the opposition bagged 5 seats, which is 5 more than the previous time. Several factors like caste, anti-incumbency sentiments, the impact of national policies on the state, etc influenced the voting patterns. Haryana was made into a new state on 1st November 1966. It was carved out of Punjab and since then elections have been held by the Election Commission of India. While it was a part of Punjab elections held in 1951,1957,1962 Lok Sabha Elections were held. Haryana has 10 constituencies of which 2 are reserved for the scheduled castes. Further when compared to last elections, the voter turnout had fallen by about 5 %. Before the elections, several psephologists had come up with opinion polls that kept the NDA in the lead. Times Now – ETG had formulated their opinion poll results to be about 6 to 8 seats to NDA, it was leading. But the most shocking occurrence was the NDA and INDIA alliance being at par.